DIA Dow Jones 30 (ETF)
-
mendezfederico
- Mensajes: 3241
- Registrado: Jue May 14, 2009 9:09 pm
Re: DIA Dow Jones 30 (ETF)
EURO...............
Re: DIA Dow Jones 30 (ETF)
mañana q día es fanta?
sobrino condenadooooooooooooo
PAC
10500 y euro 1.301
sobrino condenadooooooooooooo
PAC
10500 y euro 1.301
Re: DIA Dow Jones 30 (ETF)
Phantom: de tu generosidad y caballerosidad están fuera de cualquier duda, y una vez más, te agradezco por lo mucho que aprendí de tus aportes en estos meses.
En mis años invirtiendo, aprendi que si uno se vanagloria el acierto de hoy, ese mismo acierto puede ser el peor consejero de mañana! Y del otro lado de mostrador, tampoco quedarse petrificado por un error, siempre existe revancha si uno aprende a corregirlo!
La frase que más adoro: Panta Rhei (everything flows)
gracias!
La última frase es de lo más cierto.
En mis años invirtiendo, aprendi que si uno se vanagloria el acierto de hoy, ese mismo acierto puede ser el peor consejero de mañana! Y del otro lado de mostrador, tampoco quedarse petrificado por un error, siempre existe revancha si uno aprende a corregirlo!
La frase que más adoro: Panta Rhei (everything flows)
gracias!Phantom escribió:
Pero es de caballeros reconocer y explicitar que uno se equivocó y otro tenía razón.
nitramus escribió:Amigo Phantom, Ud acierta por leguas lo que puedo aportar. Ni loco me atreveria a decir si tuve razon o no, el unico que SIEMPRE tiene razón es el MERCADO, jaja!!!
La última frase es de lo más cierto.
Re: DIA Dow Jones 30 (ETF)
Me lo mandaron de afuera , un banco , parece que le quieren dar mas para arriba que opinan
More Evidence of an Intermediate-term Rally – Part II
SUMMARY
Our broader market view remains unchanged – intermediate-term indicators, measuring multi-month shifts, continue to bottom and turn up from oversold levels for stock markets globally, and bond yields and industrial commodities are pointing to further upside in the coming weeks and potentially months.
The technical backdrop for a pending 4-year cycle reset is potentially developing as equity markets hold and rally from key long-term trend line support at 15-month mva’s.
Sector leadership is shifting from defense back toward Cyclicals with new relative highs expanding for pro-economy sectors, such as Materials, Industrials, Energy and Technology, followed more recently by Consumer Discretionary and Financials.
OUTLOOK
Last week: Holding and rallying from important support. Last week’s trading defined another important technical marker supporting the case for an intermediate-term recovery developing, as outlined in our July 8th and 12th notes. In mid July, most equity markets had stalled under key resistance near 50-dma’s, coinciding with 3-month downtrends. However, early last week, the S&P held and rallied from important trading support at its 15-dma’s to close the week marginally above the mid July highs.
S&P 1115-1120 next important resistance band. The technical data continue to point to an unfolding intermediate-term (multi-month) recovery underway. Further upside through the next key resistance band between 1115-1120, near the 75-dma (1118) and 200-dma (1113) would confirm an intermediate-term reversal, with potential to challenge the April highs or higher in the coming months.
Starting the bottoming process for a 4-year cycle low near the 15-month mva. If we are correct that an intermediate-term low is developing, it could also lead to the initial stages of a more important 4-year cycle ‘low’ developing. In other words, while equity markets are by no means ‘out of the woods’ and the risk window concerning a cycle peak has yet to close, we would expect the unfolding intermediate-term recovery to quickly reverse the pessimistic consensus sentiment, and the consensus technical view fixated on a cycle peak to that of cycle pause or cycle reset. Equity markets are effectively beginning to bounce from near their 15-month mva’s, which has historically served as an important longer-term inflection point.
Supporting Technical Points
U.S. equity indexes along with European, Asian and Emerging markets, China’s Shanghai
Index and Shanghai Property Index remain key indexes bottoming intermediate-term. In addition, internal indicators (Percentage of Stocks Above Their 50- and 200-dma’s) are bottoming.
Industrial commodities notably Copper is bottoming intermediate-term.
10-year bond yields led by Europe (Germany), but with U.S. 10-year bond yields (2.99%) poised to turn up on a move above 3.022%. Also technically noteworthy is the spread between 10’s and 2’s showing evidence of bottoming intermediate-term.
Long Ideas: Focus on stocks leading the intermediate-term rally making new relative highs on our heat maps. Industrials, Materials, Technology and Consumer Discretionary stand out as emerging themes. Financials: AXP, CNA, AFL, GNW. Consumer: VMED, AN, TRW, F, FOSL, LTD, GES, ARO. Technology: ANSS, RHT, CTXS, APH, BMC, ATML, NCR, CREE, TDC. Industrials: CAT, ETN, UTX, JOYG, CHRW, CNW, CR, ALEX, CPA, PCP, GE, CBI, TK, OC. Materials: PPG, ALB, BLL, SEE, GEF, X, FCX, CLF, ATI, IP. Energy: CXO, OIS.
Robert Sluymer, CFA
Managing Director - U.S. Technical Research
RBC Capital Markets
More Evidence of an Intermediate-term Rally – Part II
SUMMARY
Our broader market view remains unchanged – intermediate-term indicators, measuring multi-month shifts, continue to bottom and turn up from oversold levels for stock markets globally, and bond yields and industrial commodities are pointing to further upside in the coming weeks and potentially months.
The technical backdrop for a pending 4-year cycle reset is potentially developing as equity markets hold and rally from key long-term trend line support at 15-month mva’s.
Sector leadership is shifting from defense back toward Cyclicals with new relative highs expanding for pro-economy sectors, such as Materials, Industrials, Energy and Technology, followed more recently by Consumer Discretionary and Financials.
OUTLOOK
Last week: Holding and rallying from important support. Last week’s trading defined another important technical marker supporting the case for an intermediate-term recovery developing, as outlined in our July 8th and 12th notes. In mid July, most equity markets had stalled under key resistance near 50-dma’s, coinciding with 3-month downtrends. However, early last week, the S&P held and rallied from important trading support at its 15-dma’s to close the week marginally above the mid July highs.
S&P 1115-1120 next important resistance band. The technical data continue to point to an unfolding intermediate-term (multi-month) recovery underway. Further upside through the next key resistance band between 1115-1120, near the 75-dma (1118) and 200-dma (1113) would confirm an intermediate-term reversal, with potential to challenge the April highs or higher in the coming months.
Starting the bottoming process for a 4-year cycle low near the 15-month mva. If we are correct that an intermediate-term low is developing, it could also lead to the initial stages of a more important 4-year cycle ‘low’ developing. In other words, while equity markets are by no means ‘out of the woods’ and the risk window concerning a cycle peak has yet to close, we would expect the unfolding intermediate-term recovery to quickly reverse the pessimistic consensus sentiment, and the consensus technical view fixated on a cycle peak to that of cycle pause or cycle reset. Equity markets are effectively beginning to bounce from near their 15-month mva’s, which has historically served as an important longer-term inflection point.
Supporting Technical Points
U.S. equity indexes along with European, Asian and Emerging markets, China’s Shanghai
Index and Shanghai Property Index remain key indexes bottoming intermediate-term. In addition, internal indicators (Percentage of Stocks Above Their 50- and 200-dma’s) are bottoming.
Industrial commodities notably Copper is bottoming intermediate-term.
10-year bond yields led by Europe (Germany), but with U.S. 10-year bond yields (2.99%) poised to turn up on a move above 3.022%. Also technically noteworthy is the spread between 10’s and 2’s showing evidence of bottoming intermediate-term.
Long Ideas: Focus on stocks leading the intermediate-term rally making new relative highs on our heat maps. Industrials, Materials, Technology and Consumer Discretionary stand out as emerging themes. Financials: AXP, CNA, AFL, GNW. Consumer: VMED, AN, TRW, F, FOSL, LTD, GES, ARO. Technology: ANSS, RHT, CTXS, APH, BMC, ATML, NCR, CREE, TDC. Industrials: CAT, ETN, UTX, JOYG, CHRW, CNW, CR, ALEX, CPA, PCP, GE, CBI, TK, OC. Materials: PPG, ALB, BLL, SEE, GEF, X, FCX, CLF, ATI, IP. Energy: CXO, OIS.
Robert Sluymer, CFA
Managing Director - U.S. Technical Research
RBC Capital Markets
-
mendezfederico
- Mensajes: 3241
- Registrado: Jue May 14, 2009 9:09 pm
Re: DIA Dow Jones 30 (ETF)
Che cerato, mira el bolonki que armaste 
Re: DIA Dow Jones 30 (ETF)
Amigo Phantom, Ud acierta por leguas lo que puedo aportar. Ni loco me atreveria a decir si tuve razon o no, el unico que SIEMPRE tiene razón es el MERCADO, jaja!! 
Un abrazo!
P.D por ahora la pelea del intra está en 10.500 primera resistencia luego de quebrar los 10.360.
Un abrazo!
P.D por ahora la pelea del intra está en 10.500 primera resistencia luego de quebrar los 10.360.