Acuerdo? Jajaja se debe guita se garpa, más temprano que tarde.
El FMI pone condiciones y los k no las aceptan, fin
Dólar (billete, MEP, oficial, etc)
Re: Dólar (billete, MEP, oficial, etc)
AlienDJR escribió: ↑ GraciasIgual lo de tenerlos en el colchon era un ejemplo.. puedo colocarlos en alguna ON en USD y con la renta ir pagando cuotas.
Me sigue pareciendo muy baja la tasa.. 48% de TNA fija en pesos contra 10% aprox en USD que paga una ON, todavia no le encuentro la razon a no tomarlo
Tenes que ver cuanto es la tasa efectiva final. No la tasa nominal. Del 48 % generalmente se va al 68% final sin sumar gastos de mantenimiento de paquete. Igualmente siempre a la larga rinde sacar a tasa fija.
Re: Dólar (billete, MEP, oficial, etc)
Hombrepobre escribió: ↑ Hasta cuando tengo que repetirlo.
Los dolares solo sirven como ahorro lìquido, este es un caso como el de la hija de Alzamer, un ahorro que cuando llega el momento se transforma en un bien.
Diferente el caso de Mabo, donde son mercaderìa del negocio para el cambista.
Y "ruinoso negocio" prestarselos a un estado fundido a cambio de un pagarè, letra o bono.
Sabias palabras, el dinero sea cual sea La Moneda, nunca se tiene que quedar quieta.
Re: Dólar (billete, MEP, oficial, etc)
Gracias
Igual lo de tenerlos en el colchon era un ejemplo.. puedo colocarlos en alguna ON en USD y con la renta ir pagando cuotas.Me sigue pareciendo muy baja la tasa.. 48% de TNA fija en pesos contra 10% aprox en USD que paga una ON, todavia no le encuentro la razon a no tomarlo
Re: Dólar (billete, MEP, oficial, etc)
Mi mujer y los postie acá, se compro esos jeep urbanos por 10000 dolares...en noviembre...jajA.. decime si no es negocio tener dolares..
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Hombrepobre
- Mensajes: 3025
- Registrado: Vie Sep 04, 2020 2:45 pm
Re: Dólar (billete, MEP, oficial, etc)
Hasta cuando tengo que repetirlo.
Los dolares solo sirven como ahorro lìquido, este es un caso como el de la hija de Alzamer, un ahorro que cuando llega el momento se transforma en un bien.
Diferente el caso de Mabo, donde son mercaderìa del negocio para el cambista.
Y "ruinoso negocio" prestarselos a un estado fundido a cambio de un pagarè, letra o bono.
Re: Dólar (billete, MEP, oficial, etc)
No sueñen, tincho no se va, y el que piensa que se va, tiene que vender todo y solo comprar dolares,
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Harry Forever
- Mensajes: 6853
- Registrado: Vie Dic 16, 2011 1:07 pm
Re: Dólar (billete, MEP, oficial, etc)
En el Buenos Aires Times, ya empezaron a escribir el Obituario de Tincho.
Martín Guzmán’s bid to dump Energy Undersecretary Federico Basualdo at the close of April, frustrated for now despite counting on the support of President Alberto Fernández, has reignited rumours over the economy minister’s immediate future.
The speculation has also damaged the wider government, exposing infighting within Frente de Todos. Guzmán, a star minister, ran into considerable “friendly fire” from factions within Argentina’s ruling coalition, especially from La Cámpora militant grouping and the Instituto Patria think tank, both of which respond to Vice-President Cristina Fernández de Kirchner.
While government sources believe it likely that Basualdo will be eased into some other post in the next few days, they also admit that the clash will leave behind some very open wounds – it is impossible for an undersecretary to resist a minister without the latter losing face. Meanwhile overseas markets are taking note of the strain.
“Guzmán’s role had been devalued” and “everything indicates that this fight does not end here,” said one member of the government’s economic team, speaking on condition of anonymity.
The minister’s entourage also admits that the accelerated erosion is starting to wear out the minister, who has already hinted twice at resignation in recent times.
Guzmán, who successfully restructured more than US$65 billion in foreign debt but has been stalled in his attempts to secure a new financing programme with the International Monetary Fund, has already been pushed to his limits. He had already been wrong-footed last September when capital controls were carried to extreme limits, just two days after he said there would be no more restrictions on money markets.
Rumour mill
This latest bout of turmoil came to head in the last hours of April. Last Friday, hours after President Fernández had announced the new restrictions against the second wave of Covid-19, Guzmán requested the resignation of Basualdo. The third-line official had failed to design segmented increases according to income groups, thus reducing subsidies.
News of the request was leaked by Casa Rosada sources to local outlets, although the authority of the source was later disputed. The minister was said to have been strongly supported by both President Fernández and Cabinet chief Santiago Cafiero in standing up to government hardliners – including Energy Undersecretary Basualdo – who were opposing any increases in utility rates.
Instituto Patria and other Kirchnerite hardliners dug in their heels against any increase beyond single digits, reasoning that it would otherwise be impossible to win this year’s midterm elections. Already on Friday evening, spokespeople of Cristina Fernández de Kirchner Kirchner (who had apparently not been consulted about Guzmán’s exit) started telling journalists off the record that the request for Basualdo’s resignation "never existed" and it was all "a press invention."
The pushback was aggressive. Soon, rumours started circulating that it was Guzmán who would be resigning, not Basualdo.
Without being able to reduce the massive subsidies for energy consumption and with the costs of fighting Covid-19 mounting amid rising poverty, Guzmán saw his bid to trim the fiscal deficit and hence inflation slipping out of control.
Compromise
On May Day an uneasy compromise was reached. Both a weakened Guzmán and Basualdo would be staying put, but only if the latter’s ENRE regulatory agency formalised an increase (without specifying that it would be the “only” increase this year, as desired by Kirchnerism).
Eventually, the government was able to announce that electricity billing would be increased nine percent this month, with ENRE’s approval.
Yet the continuing lag of utility pricing behind inflation not only spells trouble for the fiscal deficit, via higher subsidies, it also complicates foreign debt negotiations, especially with the International Monetary Fund (IMF), whom hardliners insist cannot be repaid in anything less than 20 years.
Any agreement with the IMF has been effectively rolled over until after the elections and now hardliners want to do the same with utility billing.
In recent meetings of the Economic Cabinet, Guzmán stressed that in the first quarter of this year, Argentina had registered the lowest fiscal deficit in the last five years, largely by virtue of rescheduling debt payments to private creditors.
Such arguments do not wash with Fernández de Kirchner, according to sources. The former president considers that in times of pandemic more state handouts are needed, without regard for the deficit.
Advance of Kicillof
Many of Guzmán’s problems also stem from the advance of Buenos Aires Province Governor Axel Kicillof (himself a former Economy minister), as demonstrated in the hyperactive role of Domestic Trade Secretary Paula Español (a foreign trade undersecretary in Kiciloff’s former economic team and a disciple of his) in terms of price controls.
On Monday Kicillof weighed in, saying "Federico Basualdo is an excellent official," and adding that "keeping [utility] increases in single digits is important" in an interview with the El Destape radio programme Habrá Consecuencias ("There will be Consequences"). But at the same time the governor attributed the alleged infighting to newspaper rumours.
During the interview, the governor was harshly critical of the electricity bill increases of"close to 3,000 percent in some cases" under the previous Mauricio Macri presidency, saying that this had only served for extraordinary profits, foreign debt and capital flight without improving the quality of service or investment in any way.
But now billing had been frozen for the last two years and if utility rates seemed behind other prices, this was the fault of "the very high inflation" under Macri, argued Kicillof.
If Edenor and Edesur were now increasing electricity billing by nine percent in the Buenos Aires Metropolitan Area (where the pandemic crisis had hit hardest), he himself had limited the increase in the rest of the province to seven percent, declared the governor.
The dispute over utilities, it seems, is far from over. As are the rumours of Guzmán’s exit.
Martín Guzmán’s bid to dump Energy Undersecretary Federico Basualdo at the close of April, frustrated for now despite counting on the support of President Alberto Fernández, has reignited rumours over the economy minister’s immediate future.
The speculation has also damaged the wider government, exposing infighting within Frente de Todos. Guzmán, a star minister, ran into considerable “friendly fire” from factions within Argentina’s ruling coalition, especially from La Cámpora militant grouping and the Instituto Patria think tank, both of which respond to Vice-President Cristina Fernández de Kirchner.
While government sources believe it likely that Basualdo will be eased into some other post in the next few days, they also admit that the clash will leave behind some very open wounds – it is impossible for an undersecretary to resist a minister without the latter losing face. Meanwhile overseas markets are taking note of the strain.
“Guzmán’s role had been devalued” and “everything indicates that this fight does not end here,” said one member of the government’s economic team, speaking on condition of anonymity.
The minister’s entourage also admits that the accelerated erosion is starting to wear out the minister, who has already hinted twice at resignation in recent times.
Guzmán, who successfully restructured more than US$65 billion in foreign debt but has been stalled in his attempts to secure a new financing programme with the International Monetary Fund, has already been pushed to his limits. He had already been wrong-footed last September when capital controls were carried to extreme limits, just two days after he said there would be no more restrictions on money markets.
Rumour mill
This latest bout of turmoil came to head in the last hours of April. Last Friday, hours after President Fernández had announced the new restrictions against the second wave of Covid-19, Guzmán requested the resignation of Basualdo. The third-line official had failed to design segmented increases according to income groups, thus reducing subsidies.
News of the request was leaked by Casa Rosada sources to local outlets, although the authority of the source was later disputed. The minister was said to have been strongly supported by both President Fernández and Cabinet chief Santiago Cafiero in standing up to government hardliners – including Energy Undersecretary Basualdo – who were opposing any increases in utility rates.
Instituto Patria and other Kirchnerite hardliners dug in their heels against any increase beyond single digits, reasoning that it would otherwise be impossible to win this year’s midterm elections. Already on Friday evening, spokespeople of Cristina Fernández de Kirchner Kirchner (who had apparently not been consulted about Guzmán’s exit) started telling journalists off the record that the request for Basualdo’s resignation "never existed" and it was all "a press invention."
The pushback was aggressive. Soon, rumours started circulating that it was Guzmán who would be resigning, not Basualdo.
Without being able to reduce the massive subsidies for energy consumption and with the costs of fighting Covid-19 mounting amid rising poverty, Guzmán saw his bid to trim the fiscal deficit and hence inflation slipping out of control.
Compromise
On May Day an uneasy compromise was reached. Both a weakened Guzmán and Basualdo would be staying put, but only if the latter’s ENRE regulatory agency formalised an increase (without specifying that it would be the “only” increase this year, as desired by Kirchnerism).
Eventually, the government was able to announce that electricity billing would be increased nine percent this month, with ENRE’s approval.
Yet the continuing lag of utility pricing behind inflation not only spells trouble for the fiscal deficit, via higher subsidies, it also complicates foreign debt negotiations, especially with the International Monetary Fund (IMF), whom hardliners insist cannot be repaid in anything less than 20 years.
Any agreement with the IMF has been effectively rolled over until after the elections and now hardliners want to do the same with utility billing.
In recent meetings of the Economic Cabinet, Guzmán stressed that in the first quarter of this year, Argentina had registered the lowest fiscal deficit in the last five years, largely by virtue of rescheduling debt payments to private creditors.
Such arguments do not wash with Fernández de Kirchner, according to sources. The former president considers that in times of pandemic more state handouts are needed, without regard for the deficit.
Advance of Kicillof
Many of Guzmán’s problems also stem from the advance of Buenos Aires Province Governor Axel Kicillof (himself a former Economy minister), as demonstrated in the hyperactive role of Domestic Trade Secretary Paula Español (a foreign trade undersecretary in Kiciloff’s former economic team and a disciple of his) in terms of price controls.
On Monday Kicillof weighed in, saying "Federico Basualdo is an excellent official," and adding that "keeping [utility] increases in single digits is important" in an interview with the El Destape radio programme Habrá Consecuencias ("There will be Consequences"). But at the same time the governor attributed the alleged infighting to newspaper rumours.
During the interview, the governor was harshly critical of the electricity bill increases of"close to 3,000 percent in some cases" under the previous Mauricio Macri presidency, saying that this had only served for extraordinary profits, foreign debt and capital flight without improving the quality of service or investment in any way.
But now billing had been frozen for the last two years and if utility rates seemed behind other prices, this was the fault of "the very high inflation" under Macri, argued Kicillof.
If Edenor and Edesur were now increasing electricity billing by nine percent in the Buenos Aires Metropolitan Area (where the pandemic crisis had hit hardest), he himself had limited the increase in the rest of the province to seven percent, declared the governor.
The dispute over utilities, it seems, is far from over. As are the rumours of Guzmán’s exit.
Re: Dólar (billete, MEP, oficial, etc)
alzamer escribió: ↑ Sin duda !
https://www.ambito.com/contenidos/soja.html
No es la soja que sube, es el dólar fabiolo que baja !
Si, yo veo a 60 en la pizarra, casi como aluar, que siempre valía 1 dólar la acción..
Re: Dólar (billete, MEP, oficial, etc)
No era qye en marzo del 2021 anunciaban el acuerdo con el fmi?.. la verdad, para mi el fmi antes de las elecciones no firma nada, lo dije en noviembre y lo repito hoy en mayo
Re: Dólar (billete, MEP, oficial, etc)
Sin duda !
https://www.ambito.com/contenidos/soja.html
No es la soja que sube, es el dólar fabiolo que baja !
Re: Dólar (billete, MEP, oficial, etc)
Orlando Ferreres ( alto y respetado economista) CREE QUE EL ACUERDO CON EL FONDO ESTA CERCA.SI LO ESCRIBIERA ACA EN ESTE FORO LE HARIAN BULLING !!!!
Re: Dólar (billete, MEP, oficial, etc)
Es tan elemental que el dólar libre va a seguir barranca abajo , en términos reales , NI HABLAR, pero en términos nominales también :
El BCRA lleva comprados 4000 millones de dólares netos desde el primero de enero.
Si acaso , llegaba a decir eso en enero .....se mataban se risa ...pero pasó , y los está comprando a
93,5.
Además, se están batiendo récords de importaciones , que eran el justificativo mentiroso del motivo por
El cual el BCRA compraba neto.
En estos dos últimos días, 260 millones de dólares, nada menos !
Si llueven dólares oficiales netos, y el BCRA surte de dólares de importación , es elemental que el precio oficial es , por lo menos normal.
El único motivo actual (antes había otros motivos ) por el que el dólar libre aún no se pega MW rapido al oficial es la economía negra.
Actualmente , además , el gobierno no está haciendo el rulo...el lobo no está...
Por ahora argentina tiene más inflación que usa (por ahora, aclaro), y la Plata negra se guarda en dólares y no en pesos que se deprecian nominalmente menos que el peso.
Creo que más seguro es guardar los pesos negros en botellas de whiskey, cualquier cosa valiosa que se importe al oficial y sea transable , y ocupe poco lugar.
Para el alienígena que pregunta (CFTEA 76%)...ya tiene su respuesta.
El BCRA lleva comprados 4000 millones de dólares netos desde el primero de enero.
Si acaso , llegaba a decir eso en enero .....se mataban se risa ...pero pasó , y los está comprando a
93,5.
Además, se están batiendo récords de importaciones , que eran el justificativo mentiroso del motivo por
El cual el BCRA compraba neto.
En estos dos últimos días, 260 millones de dólares, nada menos !
Si llueven dólares oficiales netos, y el BCRA surte de dólares de importación , es elemental que el precio oficial es , por lo menos normal.
El único motivo actual (antes había otros motivos ) por el que el dólar libre aún no se pega MW rapido al oficial es la economía negra.
Actualmente , además , el gobierno no está haciendo el rulo...el lobo no está...
Por ahora argentina tiene más inflación que usa (por ahora, aclaro), y la Plata negra se guarda en dólares y no en pesos que se deprecian nominalmente menos que el peso.
Creo que más seguro es guardar los pesos negros en botellas de whiskey, cualquier cosa valiosa que se importe al oficial y sea transable , y ocupe poco lugar.
Para el alienígena que pregunta (CFTEA 76%)...ya tiene su respuesta.
Re: Dólar (billete, MEP, oficial, etc)
AlienDJR escribió: ↑ Buenas, como andan? Se que no soy mucho de comentar en este foro, pero vengo con una duda que me esta quemando el coco...
Voy a comprar un vehiculo 0km y tengo que cancelar un saldo en pesos restante de 5000 usd aprox. Tengo las siguientes opciones:
- Vender USD contra mep a 150 aprox, y con esos pesos pagar el resto del vehiculo
- Tomar un credito a 36 meses que me ofrece el banco a tasa fija de 48% (CFTEA de 76.32%), quedarme con los USD y ponerlos a trabajar en una ON (o guardarlos bajo el colchon, da lo mismo para este ejemplo)
Me parece a mi o la tasa es demasiado baja? Me estan regalando plata o hay algo que no veo?
Muchas gracias a todos
Hola , mi opinión ...
Nunca es “negocio” tener dólares en colchón , nunca pero nunca
No tener deuda es lo mejor qué hay
Si no necesitas los dólares para viajar o como reserva para cobertura de gastos imprevistos Para mi véndelos y a disfrutar del auto
Felicitaciones
Re: Dólar (billete, MEP, oficial, etc)
AlienDJR escribió: ↑ Buenas, como andan? Se que no soy mucho de comentar en este foro, pero vengo con una duda que me esta quemando el coco...
Voy a comprar un vehiculo 0km y tengo que cancelar un saldo en pesos restante de 5000 usd aprox. Tengo las siguientes opciones:
- Vender USD contra mep a 150 aprox, y con esos pesos pagar el resto del vehiculo
- Tomar un credito a 36 meses que me ofrece el banco a tasa fija de 48% (CFTEA de 76.32%), quedarme con los USD y ponerlos a trabajar en una ON (o guardarlos bajo el colchon, da lo mismo para este ejemplo)
Me parece a mi o la tasa es demasiado baja? Me estan regalando plata o hay algo que no veo?
Muchas gracias a todos
Aca los bancos funcionan bien, sobretodo el BNA, presta guita a una TNA del 20% y paga por PF 37% anual.
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