TVPP TVPA TVPY Cupones Vinculados al PBI

[pablo9494]

Siempre que suba el cuperno...se entiende Martin...???

[Mr_Baca]

DJ SURVEY: Argentina's 2Q Current Account Surplus Seen At $1.8B
22-Sep-2011
By Ken Parks
OF DOW JONES NEWSWIRES
BUENOS AIRES (Dow Jones)--Argentina likely ran a current account surplus during the second quarter thanks to favorable terms of trade for its grain exports.
The national statistics agency, Indec, is expected to report a current-account surplus of $1.80 billion, according to the median estimate of nine economists surveyed by Dow Jones Newswires.
If correct, it would mark a turnaround from the $673 million deficit reported in the third quarter, though it would be considerably smaller than the $3.16 billion surplus in the second quarter of 2010.
Indec is scheduled to release its estimate of the current account, a broad measure of a country's transactions with the rest of the world, on Friday at 3:00 p.m. EDT.
"We suspect that despite a robust soft commodity harvest and the associated exports, the loss of competitiveness as Argentina's real exchange rate appreciates (via inflation) is leading to a significant run-up in imports and erosion of the current account surplus," Morgan Stanley economists said in a note.
Argentina's peso has firmed in inflation-adjusted terms because the central bank has been weakening the currency at a much lower rate than inflation, which is widely believed to be running at more than 20% a year.
Up until just a few months ago, Argentine manufacturers were shielded from inflation and a strong peso by the rapid appreciation of Brazil's real. Brazil is Argentina's largest trading partner, and a major buyer of automobiles and industrial goods produced in Argentina.
But the real has reversed course and has now weakened about 12% versus the U.S. dollar so far this year, which will put pressure on President Cristina Kirchner to speed up the depreciation of the peso if she wins reelection in October, as is widely expected.
"The recent real weakness is putting pressure on Argentina's bilateral competitiveness. This is relevant for Argentina as 40% of its exports to Brazil are vehicles and vehicle parts which are price sensitive," Nomura Securities strategist Boris Segura said in a note.

[pablo9494]

Si.

Si...es malo pagar eso...le haces 150% en unos dias, hace unos dias estaba en 1.90/1.8, la pagas 0,80 hoy y que perdes?

Vendes por $ 150 K, invertis $ 20 K...y ganas $ 35 K netos...si...es malo

[boquita]

El FMI pronostica crecimiento del PIB del 8% este año y del 4,6% en 2012, mientras que la estimación de la inflación en 2011 un 11,5% y 11,8% el próximo año.
2012 Argentina El presupuesto, presentado al Congreso la semana pasada, las previsiones de crecimiento total del 5,1% el próximo año.




traduje lo ultimo

[BETO1962]

hablemos de autos..

Dale, che donde puedo comprar los soportes del chapon del Golf?? no tengo ganas de caminar.

[BETO1962]

Si.

Si,,, error.

[martin]

Si.

[BETO1962]

Paren de desarmar che! lo de Pablo fue solo un ejemplo de lo que se "podria" hacer...
A ver si cerramos verde!

El tema es que si están haciendo eso se están equivocando de bases.....

Pagando bases altas decis?

[Mr_Baca]

DJ SURVEY: Argentina's July Proxy GDP Seen Up 7.6% On Year
22-Sep-2011
Proxy Gross Domestic Product (year-on-year changes):

July June May April March FY/2010
Forecast +7.6% +7.6% +6.9% +7.4% -- N/A
Actual -- +8.2 +8.1 +7.1% +8.7% +9.2
BUENOS AIRES (Dow Jones)--Argentina's economy probably continued to expand at a robust rate in July, as consumers took advantage of higher salaries and credit card promotions to buy goods such as refrigerators, TVs and cars.
The national statistics agency's monthly economic activity indicator probably rose 7.6% on the year in July, according to the median estimate of 12 economists surveyed.
That would put growth down slightly from 8.2% reported in June and 8.1% in May, according to the agency, known as Indec.
Indec is slated to release the July economic activity indicator, know by its Spanish acronym as Emae, on Friday at 3:00 P.M. EDT.
Last week Indec reported that Argentina's economy grew 9.1% in the second quarter from a year earlier, much faster than expected given Indec's down previous monthly data.
However, most economists question the accuracy of Indec's data, saying it overstates economic growth.
Morgan Stanley economists said Indec might overstate the true expansion in gross domestic product given the controversy surrounding the government's reporting of inflation.
Most private sector economists say the government understates inflation, which if true would make economic growth look more impressive than it really is.
"Our measurements suggest that the economy expanded at a more modest 5.9% year-on-year during the second quarter," Morgan Stanley said.
Earlier this week, the International Monetary Fund said it would start using estimates from the private sector and provincial governments to measure economic growth and inflation in Argentina, underscoring the fund's distrust of official data.
The news was the latest blow to President Cristina Kirchner's efforts to convince critics that her government's economic statistics are reliable.
The IMF noted that Argentine authorities have pledged to improve their growth and inflation estimates "to bring them into compliance with their obligations" as an IMF member.
But until "the quality of data reporting has improved, IMF staff will also use alternative measures of GDP growth and inflation for macroeconomic surveillance...," the IMF said.
Whatever the case, few deny that Argentina's economy is booming thanks to ample government spending, good prices for its exports and double-digit wage hikes that allow many consumers to weather inflation that is widely believed to surpass above 20%.
The IMF forecast GDP growth of 8% this year and 4.6% in 2012, while estimating 2011 inflation at 11.5% and 11.8% next year.
Argentina's 2012 budget, submitted to Congress last week, forecasts growth totaling 5.1% next year.