Re: APBR (ord) APBRA (pref) Petrobras Brasil
Publicado: Mié Mar 15, 2017 7:40 pm
empome escribió:las acciones preferidas cobran dividendo
y funcionan como si fuera un pasivo
no tienen derecho a voto en las asambleas
pero si se valorizan es señal que va a traer buenas ganancias
en el balance de Petrobras Brasil.
hace unos años que no están cobrando los dividendos
si es buena la ganancia le cancelan toda junta la deuda
http://www.opec.org/opec_web/static_fil ... 202017.pdf
Oil supply from Latin America is predicted to increase by 0.18 mb/d to average 5.30 mb/d in 2017, despite
declining in 2016 by 90 tb/d. Oil production in Brazil is expected to increase by 0.26 mb/d, while other
countries in the region will see declines.
Brazil’s liquids supply is estimated to average 3.14 mb/d in 2016, an increase of 0.06 mb/d over the previous
year. Preliminary crude oil production shows a decrease of 75 tb/d m-o-m in January to average 2.65 mb/d,
mainly due to the scheduled stoppage of the P-40 platform at the Marlim Sul field, and to maintenance work
on a production well at Parque das Baleias- both fields are in the Campos basin.
Petrobras’s pre-salt oil reached a new high of 1.34 mb/d on 4 January, falling back later to average
1.28 mb/d, while NGL output was steady at 118 tb/d. Biofuels increased by 24 tb/d to 0.55 mb/d. Total
Brazilian liquids supply in January declined by 50 tb/d m-o-m to average 3.33 mb/d. Growth of 0.26 mb/d is
forecast in Brazil for the year of 2017 to reach an average of 3.40 mb/d. Higher output through new wells in
Cidade de Caraguatatuba (over the Lapa field); Cidade de Saquarema, Cidade de Mangaratiba, Cidade de
Itaguaí (over the Lula field); Cidade de São Paulo (over the Sapinhoá field) and also at the P-58 platform
serving Parque das Baleias, is expected to be achieved through connection to different FPSOs in the Santos
basin during the coming months of 2017.
Brazil exported around 1.63 mb/d of crude oil in February 2017, government data showed, setting a new
record high for the second month in a row.
The country’s oil exports have continued to see strong gains since the start of the year. Exports averaged
just under 840 tb/d in 2016 and finished the year with a y-o-y contraction of 29% in December to average
around 620 tb/d that month. In the first month of 2017, exports jumped to 1.32 mb/d and continued to climb in
February.
Higher exports have allowed the country to boost its presence in the growing Asian market. Preliminary
reports indicate that China has increased its purchases of Brazil’s heavy sweet grades (such as Marlim,
Roncador Heavy and Lula). The increased flows have been supported by weaker WTI prices relative to Brent
and Dubai values, making WTI-based grades more competitive. Two Chinese state-run companies
reportedly have purchased 5 mb or more of Brazil sweet crude for March loading.
The rise in exports also comes at a time of new projects in the country’s offshore subsalt area. In January,
pre-salt output averaged 1.28 mb/d, representing some 48% of the country’s crude oil supply. Total liquids
supply – including NGLs and biofuels – is forecast to increase by 0.26 mb/d in 2017 to average 3.40 mb/d,
with growth primarily supported by increased subsalt production.
A further factor supporting exports has been lower domestic oil needs as Brazil’s economy has been in
recession for the last two years, contracting by 3.6% last year on top of a 3.8% decline in 2015. The
economy is expected to come out of recession in 2017 and grow by a forecast 0.5%. So far, this has not led
to an improvement in oil demand as the most recent available data shows oil consumption continuing to
contract, down 1% y-o-y in January. For 2017, Brazilian oil demand is expected to increase by 35 tb/d to
average 2.36 mb/d.
The country’s oil industry has proved to be one of the bright spots of the Brazilian economy this year, in
terms of foreign direct investment. Earlier in March, Total and Petrobras signed the final agreement on the
sale of $2.25 billion in assets, including stakes in offshore concession areas and two onshore cogeneration
plants. The deals are part of a strategic alliance between the two firms, which boost Petrobras financial
strength and gives Total access to fields in the country’s Santos Basin.
Provided the above forecasts for economic growth, oil demand and supply materialize this year, it is likely
that the volume of exports in the coming months many not remain as high as in the first months of the year,
as Brazil’s economy begins to see some improvement.