Re: TVPP TVPA TVPY Cupones Vinculados al PBI
Publicado: Mié Abr 28, 2010 1:32 pm
Santander estimates for year-end Merval suggest an upside for USD warrants of around 25% (US$9.75)
NPV3 model doesn’t explain why ARS warrants underperform USD peers over time.
Warrants’ payments are capped at 48% of their notional amounts (in each currency)
High GDP growth in ARS (due to high inflation) will make ARS warrants hit cap well before USD warrants do so.
Price targets: ARS10.70 (short term), ARS8.90 (medium term)
ARS universe
Warrants stand out despite high volatility
Expected returns (4 months) go from 12% to 23%, with historical vols very flat across the entire curve
abrazo
salva +2
PD: igual hoy pesa lo de afuera...
NPV3 model doesn’t explain why ARS warrants underperform USD peers over time.
Warrants’ payments are capped at 48% of their notional amounts (in each currency)
High GDP growth in ARS (due to high inflation) will make ARS warrants hit cap well before USD warrants do so.
Price targets: ARS10.70 (short term), ARS8.90 (medium term)
ARS universe
Warrants stand out despite high volatility
Expected returns (4 months) go from 12% to 23%, with historical vols very flat across the entire curve
abrazo
salva +2

PD: igual hoy pesa lo de afuera...