mediamovil escribió: Australia estaba subiendo antes del GDP me parece que no va dar malo. VALE explota si da bien.
Acá hay un buen resumen de qué se espera, y de acuerdo al desvío de lo que salga será la reacción. Y sí, VALE está muy ligada a esta info:
( http://www.forexlive.com/blog/2014/10/2 ... ket-focus/ )
- The Bloomberg consensus ‘expected’ is +7.2% y/y (prior was +7.5%).
- At 7.2%, it would be the slowest economic growth expansion since the Q1 of 2009.
- The growth target is officially 7.5%, though bouts of weakness have seen officials commenting that somewhere around there (i.e a little lower) would be acceptable.
Some of the recent private forecasts for the growth rate in China over 2014:
- PIMCO – Sees China GDP growth slowing to 6.5% from 7.5%
- World Bank says China to grow at 7.4% in 2014, and 7.2% in 2015
- IMF’s Zhu Min – China can accept a GDP growth of between 7-7.5%
- Goldman Sachs China economist – Stats bureau adjustments to methodology boost GDP by 0.1-0.2%
Also out from China on Tuesday is:
September retail sales (expected to come in slightly weaker y/y than in August)
- expected is +11.7% y/y, prior +11.9%
Industrial production for September:
- expected is +7.5% y/y, prior was +6.9%
Fixed asset investment
- expected is +16.3% y/y, prior was +16.5%
