DIA Dow Jones 30 (ETF)

[TonyMontana]

todavia me debe 150ptos para hoy el DJI...
hermoso el euro, commoditties y midcaps, mercado solido.
el SPX tiene que meter una vela violenta hasta 1140 y solapar el inicio de la gran caida, con eso creo que tenemos new highs

[Capitalista]

Si anula el shooting star de ayer se puede poner lindo

[TonyMontana]

cuando empiecen a postear buenas noticias, ahi va a empezar a caer.
pais virtual/ pais real

[El rosarino]

Perdon por faltarle el respeto a nuestro querido BDI jet .... mira aca posteo algo q se me ocurrio con la data que me paso
nuestro muy respetado amigo phan:

Segun the economist:

Figures released on March 1st by the Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis (CPB), which maintains a close watch on global trade volumes, point to renewed vigour at the end of 2009. Trade volumes rose by 6%, quarter-on-quarter, in the final three months of the year.

Still, a revival is clearly under way. The volume of trade went up by 5% in December alone. Weak growth of 1.2% in October and 1.1% in November might have suggested that the recovery which began earlier in the year was faltering.

[El rosarino]

Yo a partir de enero de 2010 no tomo mas al Baltic para monitorear como viene el comercio internacional. Durante 2007 y 2008, la cantidad de buques de transporte que se empezaron a construir debido a los altos precios de los contratos aumento mucho. Estos buques se terminaron en 2009 y 2010, por lo tanto la cantidad de oferta aumento significativamente. Esto significa que la gran sobrecapacidad que hay deprima los precios aun si la demanda vuelve a los niveles de 2007.



Por lo tanto hay que ir buscando otro modo de medir el comercio internacional.... :roll

[murddock]

Segun Anthony Caldaro de OEW;

MEDIUM TERM: uptrend new high SPX 1123
LONG TERM: bear/bull inflection point currently favoring the bulls

MEDIUM TERM: downtrend in jeopardy

From the Mar 09 SPX 667 low the market has rallied in three waves into the SPX 1150 high. In the bear market rally we expected it was labeled an ABC. If we were wrong, and this is a new bull market it would be labeled a 1-2-3. We have both of these counts posted on the SPX and DOW charts respectively. In a bear market all of the downtrends need to display impulsive characteristics. From Oct 07 to Mar 09 all downtrends did. During the Mar 09 to Jan 10 rally there was only one downtrend, and it was corrective. This is normal for an ABC bear market rally. Upon completion of this type of ABC rally the next downtrend to follow should be impulsive to resume the bear market. The current downtrend has not been impulsive, but corrective and very similar to the Jun-July downtrend.

Esto de la similitud en la correccion en 3 ultima con la de Jun-Jul aca se comento. Son muy pocos los elliotistas que se plantean esta posibilidad hoy por hoy, la mayoria con Pretcher a la cabeza siguen confiados en que el Bear market va reanudar y que iremos a new lows.



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