DIA Dow Jones 30 (ETF)
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esponja
- Mensajes: 3944
- Registrado: Mar Oct 02, 2012 10:25 pm
Re: DIA Dow Jones 30 (ETF)
Yo no lo veo mal todavía, al contrario. Veremos las earnings. Yo tengo la impresión de que si no aparece ninguna noticia grave sigue hacia ATH. Que puede bajar, obvio, pero te construye un higher low en weekly y los bajistas se van al pasto. Quien sabe...
A mi modo de ver no fue un simple rally dentro de un bear market, por la actividad en piso y por los internals durante la suba que decían que entraba guita. La cautela viene, para mí, por el divorcio entre el SP y el NYSE, financials y EPS. Pero mientras no vea que los market makers no tienen posiciones comprometidas que los obliguen a cubrirse, ni por asomo veo baja fuerte. Por ahora el asunto ese está tranquilo en SPY, QQQ e IWM a opex abril. Dopo vemos.
A mi modo de ver no fue un simple rally dentro de un bear market, por la actividad en piso y por los internals durante la suba que decían que entraba guita. La cautela viene, para mí, por el divorcio entre el SP y el NYSE, financials y EPS. Pero mientras no vea que los market makers no tienen posiciones comprometidas que los obliguen a cubrirse, ni por asomo veo baja fuerte. Por ahora el asunto ese está tranquilo en SPY, QQQ e IWM a opex abril. Dopo vemos.
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Ventarrón
- Mensajes: 3262
- Registrado: Vie Dic 27, 2013 2:42 pm
Re: DIA Dow Jones 30 (ETF)
La vela semanal que dejó eisanpi es sencillamente horrenda.
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murddock
- Mensajes: 8625
- Registrado: Vie Dic 10, 2010 1:40 pm
Re: DIA Dow Jones 30 (ETF)
"Between mid-February and early April, the SPX rocketed 13.3% higher in just 7 weeks! That made for one of the biggest intra-quarter recoveries the US stock markets have ever witnessed. Working with Dow 30 data since its history extends back much farther than the S&P 500’s, researchers at a company called My401kPro.com did a fascinating study on intra-quarter rebounds. They started way back in 1900.
It turned out Q1’16 was only the fourth quarter since 1900, out of 465 calendar quarters, where the US stock markets finished positive after falling 10%+ within a quarter. So the rally we saw in the second half of Q1’16 was extreme and exceptional. This study dug deeper, expanding intra-quarter rebounds to recovering 8%+ after a 10%+ intra-quarter selloff. That happened 26 other times since 1900 in the Dow 30.
Here’s the kicker. It turns out that fully 24 of those 26 massive intra-quarter rebounds happened within secular bear markets! There are near-certain odds what we just witnessed was a bear-market rally. The reasons a new stock bear is awakening are legion, and the technical profile of that surge just happened to perfectly match that of bear-market rallies. It erupted sharply in fear off major lows fueled by short covering.
But as that short covering petered out, the pace of the surge moderated in anemic low-volume up days. There was little buy-side conviction, with serious asymmetry between the high volume of the preceding major selloff and fading volume of the subsequent sharp rally. It perfectly executed the mission of bear-market rallies, to eradicate the excessive fear at recent selloff lows and rekindle widespread complacency.
Even at this bear-market rally’s apex last Friday, the SPX was still seeing a long series of lower highs since its all-time record peak late last May. The stock markets have been rolling over on balance for almost an entire year now, their lower highs and lower lows forming a powerful technical downtrend. Such developments simply aren’t seen in bull markets, the Fed-distorted stock-market cycles have finally turned."
Mi voto es No positivo.
It turned out Q1’16 was only the fourth quarter since 1900, out of 465 calendar quarters, where the US stock markets finished positive after falling 10%+ within a quarter. So the rally we saw in the second half of Q1’16 was extreme and exceptional. This study dug deeper, expanding intra-quarter rebounds to recovering 8%+ after a 10%+ intra-quarter selloff. That happened 26 other times since 1900 in the Dow 30.
Here’s the kicker. It turns out that fully 24 of those 26 massive intra-quarter rebounds happened within secular bear markets! There are near-certain odds what we just witnessed was a bear-market rally. The reasons a new stock bear is awakening are legion, and the technical profile of that surge just happened to perfectly match that of bear-market rallies. It erupted sharply in fear off major lows fueled by short covering.
But as that short covering petered out, the pace of the surge moderated in anemic low-volume up days. There was little buy-side conviction, with serious asymmetry between the high volume of the preceding major selloff and fading volume of the subsequent sharp rally. It perfectly executed the mission of bear-market rallies, to eradicate the excessive fear at recent selloff lows and rekindle widespread complacency.
Even at this bear-market rally’s apex last Friday, the SPX was still seeing a long series of lower highs since its all-time record peak late last May. The stock markets have been rolling over on balance for almost an entire year now, their lower highs and lower lows forming a powerful technical downtrend. Such developments simply aren’t seen in bull markets, the Fed-distorted stock-market cycles have finally turned."
Mi voto es No positivo.
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esponja
- Mensajes: 3944
- Registrado: Mar Oct 02, 2012 10:25 pm
Re: DIA Dow Jones 30 (ETF)
Jajajaja
El amante de Luch era el piojo, por eso Sanhax enloqueció de celos. Paco quiere un lugar en ese triángulo amoroso
El amante de Luch era el piojo, por eso Sanhax enloqueció de celos. Paco quiere un lugar en ese triángulo amoroso
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CHIQUI1
- Mensajes: 12153
- Registrado: Jue Ago 10, 2006 11:47 am
Re: DIA Dow Jones 30 (ETF)
LUCH escribió:Gracias Paco por el saludo todos los años lo haces![]()
Gracias Gringo
Perdon, ya hubo sexo entre uds?
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el gringo
- Mensajes: 4550
- Registrado: Vie Nov 16, 2007 1:49 pm
Re: DIA Dow Jones 30 (ETF)
Si .paco.......feliz cumpleaños...lunch....!!!!
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Paco
- Mensajes: 5485
- Registrado: Jue Jul 17, 2008 3:38 pm
Re: DIA Dow Jones 30 (ETF)
FELIZ CUMPLEAÑOS LUCH !!! 
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elushi
- Mensajes: 6422
- Registrado: Lun Jun 03, 2013 8:03 pm
Re: DIA Dow Jones 30 (ETF)
LUCH escribió: fueron 2 ruedas para una ganancia del 21.5%
muy buen trade
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elushi
- Mensajes: 6422
- Registrado: Lun Jun 03, 2013 8:03 pm
Re: DIA Dow Jones 30 (ETF)
dragon escribió:TREMENDA resistencia
cada vez que va a buscar el maximo anterior no lo puede quebrar. ta peligroso el tema
la ema 50 la esta puerteando a la 200. cae o quiebra arriba?
creo que se puede venir una suba del dxy
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dragon
- Mensajes: 8623
- Registrado: Vie May 29, 2009 7:21 pm
Re: DIA Dow Jones 30 (ETF)
TREMENDA resistencia 
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esponja
- Mensajes: 3944
- Registrado: Mar Oct 02, 2012 10:25 pm
Re: DIA Dow Jones 30 (ETF)
LUCH escribió:TinoTrader @TinoTrader1 19 hHace 19 horas
Actualizo Posición de $UVXY número 11 del mercado americano.
http://tinotrader.blogspot.com.ar/2016/ ... short.html …
+10%
Rajá nene, clink caja y a otra cosa
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DiegoYSalir
- Mensajes: 15188
- Registrado: Vie Ago 15, 2014 7:28 pm
- Ubicación: Sentado y tecleando.-
Re: DIA Dow Jones 30 (ETF)
CHIQUI1 escribió:por CHIQUI1Vie Ene 29, 2016 3:46 pm
Poca actividad en este foro, que piensan de TSLA en estos niveles de 190?
por DiegoYSalirVie Ene 29, 2016 4:07 pm
tesla? que con el petroleo en 20 dolares esos autitos a pila se los van a tener que meter x cul0!
+36%gracias Diego, nunca pensaste en trabajar con las cartas astrales?
andaaaa... chiquitita, ahora te haces el notredamus xq embocaste la empresa de los autitos escalectric???
y cuanto viene subiendo PBR en ese mismo periodo??? 100 maso???
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el gringo
- Mensajes: 4550
- Registrado: Vie Nov 16, 2007 1:49 pm
Re: DIA Dow Jones 30 (ETF)
Aceleran los indices en eeuu
fe 
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pedrovet
- Mensajes: 2292
- Registrado: Dom Mar 28, 2010 8:38 pm
Re: DIA Dow Jones 30 (ETF)
a que hora minutas de la FED hoy?
¿Quién está conectado?
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