DIA Dow Jones 30 (ETF)

[mendigo]

Como andas tanto tiempo... recien me doy cuenta que eras vos.[/quote]

Yo tambien !!! estoy en el twitter como @sebatrader

[Mardou]

MENDIGO = PASTELITO?????

Como anda la casa de gobierno ?[/quote]

Jeje...
Nos fuimos!!! no ves que no hay agua!!!
Como andas tanto tiempo... recien me doy cuenta que eras vos.

[Poo]

mendigo está alcista y su pulpo bajista, están peleados

[Gramar]

HABLA OBAMA DESPUES DEL RESUTALDO DE LOS STRESS TEST.

[mendigo]

MENDIGO = PASTELITO?????[/quote]

Como anda la casa de gobierno ?

[MAD MAX]

este pelpa sube lindo hoy "riv" ( rivotril) !!!!

[Mardou]

Volvio el simulador de otro broker a funcionar ?

MENDIGO = PASTELITO?????

[Luca]

qué suspenso...
me voy a buscar un feca para la hora señalada, lástima que no puede ser whisky.

[Capitan Piluso]

doble techo y al hondo fondo la mie*** esta?

[PAC]

http://pacinversor.blogspot.com/2010/07/boeing-co.html

el vuelo sera auspiciado por boing jejej

[mendigo]

Aca estoy señor Aleman,esperando tranquilo las 16:30 para descorchar..... ..no hay otra salida que la puerta 12

Volvio el simulador de otro broker a funcionar ?

[criacuervos]

Y al año y medio ... resucitó... golazo para los que compraron bonos defaultiados...

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/GM-plans- ... et=&ccode=

[elcata]

Para mi un achique se viene si o si nose si es para despues subir o que , pero gente sepan que van hacer las de los balances , con la noticia lo bajan y despues la semana que viene pum para arriba

[el_sobrino]

Aca estoy señor Aleman,esperando tranquilo las 16:30 para descorchar..... ..no hay otra salida que la puerta 12

[MrGekko]

Acá va un extracto de un análisis sobre la posibilidad de que USA esté por entrar nuevamente en recesión. Según estos criterios, está casi confirmada una segunda recesión (double dip recession), más aún luego de los comentarios de Bernanke el otro día.

http://www.hussmanfunds.com/wmc/wmc100614.htm
...
From my perspective, the evidence isn't yet sufficient, from a probability standpoint, to firmly anticipate a double dip. But it is notable how close the evidence is to locking in on that conclusion.

The following is our refined set of "Aunt Minnie" criteria for identifying oncoming recessions. See the November 12, 2007 comment Expecting a Recession for details. In every instance we've observed these conditions, the U.S. economy has either already been in a recession, or has been within a few weeks of what turned out in hindsight to be the official beginning of a recession. There have been no false signals.

1: Widening credit spreads: An increase over the past 6 months in either the spread between commercial paper and 3-month Treasury yields, or between the Dow Corporate Bond Index yield and 10-year Treasury yields. This criterion is currently in place.

2: Moderate or flat yield curve: A yield spread between the 10-year Treasury yield and the 3-month Treasury yield of anything less than 3.1%. As of last week, the 10-year Treasury yield was 3.22%. The 3-month Treasury bill yield was 0.08%. So virtually any decline in the 10-year yield from here will put this criterion in place.

3: Falling stock prices: S&P 500 below its level of 6 months earlier. This is not terribly unusual by itself, which is why people say that market declines have called 11 of the past 6 recessions, but falling stock prices are very important as part of the broader syndrome. This criterion is currently in place.

4: Moderating ISM and employment growth: Manufacturing PMI (at or) below 54, coupled with either total nonfarm employment growth below 1.3% over the preceding year (this is a figure that Marty Zweig noted in a Barron's piece years ago), or an unemployment rate up 0.4% or more from its 12-month low. At present, both of the employment measures are in place. Last month, the ISM PMI dropped from 60.4 to 59.7.

For all intents and purposes, unless the credit spreads, the S&P 500, or the yield curve reverse, a further decline in the Purchasing Managers Index to 54 or below would be sufficient to confirm a "double-dip recession." Note that by itself, such a level might not be particularly troublesome. But in concert with the other evidence we observe, it would be sufficient to complete the syndrome of risk factors.