TS Tenaris
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manzana
- Mensajes: 129
- Registrado: Dom May 17, 2009 12:09 am
Re: TS Tenaris
Citigroup: ‘Peak Pessimism’ at Hand for Oil Services Stocks
Crude oil continues to slip, but one analyst says now could be time for longer-term investors to bulk up on oil services stocks.
U.S. crude futures plunged below the $50 a barrel marker on Monday, extending the slide another 2.3% to $48.91 early on Tuesday, according to FactSet. Oil services companies such as Schlumberger (SLB) and Halliburton (HAL), which aid production and exploration companies, have been hit particularly hard. The Market Vectors Oil Services ETF (OIH) is down 27% over the past three months compared with a 14% decline in the Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLE), which owns majors such as Exxon Mobil (XOM) and Chevron (CVX).
Citigroup analyst Scott Gruber takes the somewhat contrarian position that falling capital expenditure forecasts and looming bankruptcies by some exploration companies could portend that the industry’s shakeout is closer at hand. Meanwhile, he says that oil services stocks tend to stop falling as oil reaches “unsustainably low” levels; furthermore, investors appear to be through much of their selling since valuations have fallen so low:
“We believe sentiment is unlikely to deteriorate much further as it appears to be consensus that crude prices have further downside into the spring and Oil Service estimates need to take another step lower. At the same time, many of our discussions indicate that investors believe downside for the stocks is limited, likely reflecting the achievement of trough valuation multiples. The combination of remaining negative headwinds that impede action but limited downside based on valuation is, in our view, a mark that sentiment is near the trough. We recommend that medium to long term investors take advantage and build positions. Short term investors should wait…” for a clearer signal, he writes.
Crude oil continues to slip, but one analyst says now could be time for longer-term investors to bulk up on oil services stocks.
U.S. crude futures plunged below the $50 a barrel marker on Monday, extending the slide another 2.3% to $48.91 early on Tuesday, according to FactSet. Oil services companies such as Schlumberger (SLB) and Halliburton (HAL), which aid production and exploration companies, have been hit particularly hard. The Market Vectors Oil Services ETF (OIH) is down 27% over the past three months compared with a 14% decline in the Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLE), which owns majors such as Exxon Mobil (XOM) and Chevron (CVX).
Citigroup analyst Scott Gruber takes the somewhat contrarian position that falling capital expenditure forecasts and looming bankruptcies by some exploration companies could portend that the industry’s shakeout is closer at hand. Meanwhile, he says that oil services stocks tend to stop falling as oil reaches “unsustainably low” levels; furthermore, investors appear to be through much of their selling since valuations have fallen so low:
“We believe sentiment is unlikely to deteriorate much further as it appears to be consensus that crude prices have further downside into the spring and Oil Service estimates need to take another step lower. At the same time, many of our discussions indicate that investors believe downside for the stocks is limited, likely reflecting the achievement of trough valuation multiples. The combination of remaining negative headwinds that impede action but limited downside based on valuation is, in our view, a mark that sentiment is near the trough. We recommend that medium to long term investors take advantage and build positions. Short term investors should wait…” for a clearer signal, he writes.
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LucasDobro
- Mensajes: 48
- Registrado: Vie Sep 05, 2014 12:41 pm
Re: TS Tenaris
Si no frenan al oil lo unico que va a salir es sangre del o.... 
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infosys
- Mensajes: 114
- Registrado: Jue May 02, 2013 12:25 am
Re: TS Tenaris
Adentro con 188. Esperemos que salga.

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aspirineta
- Mensajes: 102
- Registrado: Jue Jun 12, 2014 2:06 am
Re: TS Tenaris
¿Pullback de tenaris al soporte en $180 y sale? si aguanta los usd$ 30 el adr puede ser... o tal vez ira a cerrar el gap a usd$29.30, ¿que opinan? si el petroleo semantiene firme arriba delos usd$50 ¿puede ser posible?
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00sebas
- Mensajes: 1232
- Registrado: Dom Ene 19, 2014 1:19 am
Re: TS Tenaris
Siiii maldito OIL !!! 
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docc
- Mensajes: 3912
- Registrado: Mié May 09, 2012 11:35 pm
Re: TS Tenaris
00sebas escribió:Esto tiene un poco mas de olor que toma de ganancias me parece..
Olor a petroleo tiene !
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00sebas
- Mensajes: 1232
- Registrado: Dom Ene 19, 2014 1:19 am
Re: TS Tenaris
Esto tiene un poco mas de olor que toma de ganancias me parece.. 
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pablete
- Mensajes: 3524
- Registrado: Sab Ene 05, 2013 5:13 pm
Re: TS Tenaris
Sana sana toma de ganancias
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loboladino
- Mensajes: 298
- Registrado: Jue Ene 08, 2015 8:26 pm
Re: TS Tenaris
Pude entrar de nuevo y con un vuelto a favor
cuando se estabilice esto tiene que andar muy bien
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Diego1.8T
- Mensajes: 291
- Registrado: Vie May 18, 2012 8:51 pm
Re: TS Tenaris
Buenos días, me parece que para el mercado local va a volver a los 18X y el ADR a 29 antes de testear por los 35.
Mi simple vista.
Abrazo señores.
Mi simple vista.
Abrazo señores.
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gentleman
- Mensajes: 2503
- Registrado: Vie Jul 13, 2012 7:45 pm
Re: TS Tenaris
kenshi, tenemos un análisis muy parecido. veo al adr de ts tocando los 35,5 - 36 usd (son 13% mas de suba) que coincide con mi objetivo del oil q esta en masomenos los 58,5
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kenshi
- Mensajes: 1957
- Registrado: Sab Ago 29, 2009 12:01 pm
Re: TS Tenaris
Nadie escribió:Una consulta para no molestarlos más preguntando siempre si la suba o baja es por el precio del crudo... ¿dónde puedo ver la cotización del mismo?
https://www.tradingview.com/e/4POHNg4l/
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Nadie
- Mensajes: 4065
- Registrado: Vie Abr 26, 2013 5:39 pm
Re: TS Tenaris
Una consulta para no molestarlos más preguntando siempre si la suba o baja es por el precio del crudo... ¿dónde puedo ver la cotización del mismo?
Por otra parte, ¿alguien sabe para cuando se prevée la publicación del balance?
Pero si tengo X en la cuenta comitente y quiero comprar X + 1 no puedo. Salvo que use mi otra cuenta donde estoy habilitado para comprar al márgen... pero después me complican con los intereses, cálculos raros, etc y prefiero evitarlo.
Sea como fuere, en estos días intentaré triplicar mi magra tenencia de TS...
Por otra parte, ¿alguien sabe para cuando se prevée la publicación del balance?
gamuzino escribió:Podes comprar sin tener los fondos, la liquidacion se hace a 72 hs
Pero si tengo X en la cuenta comitente y quiero comprar X + 1 no puedo. Salvo que use mi otra cuenta donde estoy habilitado para comprar al márgen... pero después me complican con los intereses, cálculos raros, etc y prefiero evitarlo.
Sea como fuere, en estos días intentaré triplicar mi magra tenencia de TS...
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falerito01
- Mensajes: 14970
- Registrado: Vie Ago 30, 2013 1:56 pm
Re: TS Tenaris
rifaban lotes hoy con poca tasa. pero no compre. le tengo miedo al balance. con la bajadel oil no se como andara esto. asi que pague ma slotes de pbr. que creo que es mas viable con un oil de 55 que ts.
¿Quién está conectado?
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