DIA Dow Jones 30 (ETF)

[El rosarino]

Che me parece que Corey me anda leyendo el blog

http://blog.afraidtotrade.com/a-hauntin ... dow-jones/

[El rosarino]

Explica muy claramente la lucha de hoy

200 day SMA: 1,108
38.2% Fibonacci Retracement up: 1,109
Prior price resistance: 1,105
“Round number”: 1,110

Major inflection points – like this – in the markets are like soldiers lined up on a battlefield. We don’t know which army will cross the line, but once a line is crossed, the battle dynamics change.

Bears – who prefer tight stops – will rush to cover (buy back their short-sold positions) on a break above 1,110 when the market starts to tick to 1,111, 1,112, 1,113 as they feel the pain of monetary loss.

Bulls, on the other hand, see this is a potentially early place to get long with a low-risk, tight stop (under 1,110) to try to play not only a range breakout, but a break above a known confluence resistance level.

Of course, bears are putting on short-positions expecting price to hold under 1,110.

If buyers push the bears to cover, we will likely see a “Popped Stops” play. That’s a positive feedback loop where bulls rush to buy the breakout and bears rush to protect losses by ‘buying back’ their shares – a classic short-squeeze of sorts.

The alternative is that buyers fail to overcome sellers here, and price remains within the established trading range and heads back to 1,040… and bears would defend their ‘turf’ on the battlefield.

The other – less pleasant for everyone – outcome would be a “Bull Trap,” wherein bears would cover above 1,110, bulls would buy a breakout, and then price would sink right back into the trading range.

That’s why a lot of traders like to see price clearly breakout and stay out – close one or two days – rather than rush to buy an index tick of 1,111, 1,112, etc.

Whatever your play, watch closely what happens here. Very closely. Keep everything in terms of “Risk/Reward”/probabilities rather than absolute certainties.

Mas en

http://blog.afraidtotrade.com/here-we-g ... -breakout/

[El rosarino]

[el gringo]

muchachos el sol sale todos los dias
el mercado da revancha si o si
los quiero el gringo serrucho y timba

[PAC]

para para se nota

[El rosarino]

PAC a veces me da miedo que andes tan ajustado

[PAC]

el 8 de junio le di poca vida al vix y ahi va...onda 3 casi lista

http://pacinversor.blogspot.com/search/label/vix

[murddock]

El VIX cayo un 50% se partio en 2 piezas literalmente el ultimo mes. Tanto cambio el mercado de aquel dia de 50 puntos a hoy como para estar en estos niveles de VIX?? Creo que los muchachos van de un extremo a otro con una facilidad increible.

Anyway, la zona de 22-23 puntos luce como Target probable antes de reiniciar Volatilidad.

[PAC]

http://pacinversor.blogspot.com/2010/06 ... ndo-e.html

aca tienen los fibos de SP500

[PAC]

sp500 va primero a 1122 con posibilidad de 1130 .. para iniciar vuelo rumbo a 1204 tope de este rebote osea fibo 261.6

[PAC]

10345 a 10350 ahora es soporte fibo 50 antes , pero la confirmacion esta que vamos derecho a 10500

http://pacinversor.blogspot.com/2010/06 ... jones.html

mientas esperamos tomar unas Ko bien fresquitas.

http://pacinversor.blogspot.com/2010/06 ... -para.html

[yulian]

ok, yulian un gustaso por la ayuda, espero no salir herido

no es tan grave salir con un 2% de pérdida, de todas formas si mañana tenés una toma de ganancias está para salir igual hecho o con unos mangos arriba falta tiempo para entrar en estos etf, pero no mucho (2 a 3 semanas), puede que vuelva cerca de mínimos en la zona de 28 a 30.
Abrazo, me voy a bañar

[yulian]

Yulian, pero me daba que el sp500 tenía resistencia en 1115/1118 por eso le jugué, tanto le erré?

Aparte del chart, tenés que ver el resto de osciladores e indicadores y entrar al inverso cuando veas que no puede con esa resistencia