Foro de Rava Bursátil

Capitan Piluso escribió:...her profesor.....

sisi a veces le enseño a mi vieja a adjuntar archivos a los mails

El índice SPX o el tradeable SPY?[/quote]
cualquiera de los 2, fantas queda muy poco para la hecatombe, el horaculo viene milimetrico, sobre la mar navegando, la banda siguio tocando en el titanic...her profesor....se cierra el circulo.

Phantom escribió:Vean abajo a la derecha....

http://dshort.com/charts/Kimble/index-f ... -10921.gif

zonas de resistencia o pullbacks a TL de largo plazo en azul? que tema ehhhh

Setiembre no corrigió nada todavía, siendo que como promedio se manda -4 % intrames desde 1901, mal no estaría una sana corrección hasta la base del canal, siendo que el mes ya dijo todo en cuanto a expectativa.

Capitan Piluso escribió:nitra o fantasma no podran colgar un grafo del sp500 candels 60 minutes de 1 mes, asi vemos cuando termina esta onda C , se agradece, saludos de la banda del oso.

El índice SPX o el tradeable SPY?

Llevando ADBE

nitramus escribió:Hernan, por lo estrechas que estan las intersecciones de distintas figuras, mañana si o si deberá cerrar debajo de los 10.720 para poder esperar una correccion hacia la zona de 10.460 (SMA 200). De lo contrario.....a cerrar los shorts de hoy......

Una duda.....si la Death Cross no tumbó el mercado, la inminente Golden Cross (SMA 50 y 200) tambien podria ser un simple espejismo?

Un abrazo

nitra o fantasma no podran colgar un grafo del sp500 candels 60 minutes de 1 mes, asi vemos cuando termina esta onda C , se agradece, saludos de la banda del oso.

Sera momento de una toma de corto los hedge fund se empiezan a shortear mas



By Lu Wang
Sept. 21 (Bloomberg) -- Individuals are more bullish on
U.S. stocks than any time this year even as hedge funds boost
bets that equities will drop. That signals the Standard & Poor’s
500 Index may hold near its current level, according to Bank of
America Corp.’s Mary Ann Bartels.
The latest weekly survey from the American Association of
Individual Investors showed bulls outpaced bears by 2.10, the
highest ratio since Dec. 31. While the stock rally in September
has turned more individuals optimistic, hedge funds that trade
on rising and falling stock prices have reduced wagers that
shares will rise to 18 percent above their overall holdings,
compared with an average of 35 percent to 40 percent, according
to Bank of America estimates.
The conflicting views between smaller investors and hedge
funds highlight the divergence of the market where earnings are
forecast to rise at the fastest pace since 1988, even amid signs
that economic growth is slowing.
“The equity market this year has frustrated both the bulls
and the bears, and this is likely to continue into year-end,”
Bartels, ranked second among analysts who study price charts in
Institutional Investor magazine’s most recent survey, wrote in a
note to clients yesterday.
The S&P 500 has climbed as much as 9.2 percent since the
end of last year and fallen as much as 8.3 percent. It advanced
1.6 percent to 1,143.67 yesterday and is up 2.6 percent in 2010.

Individuals Return

Individuals are becoming more optimistic after shunning
equities in favor of bonds following the 2008 financial crisis.
Almost $57 billion was withdrawn from U.S. stock mutual funds
from May through August, the most during any four-month period
since 2008, according to data compiled by the Investment Company
Institute. At the same time, about $100 billion was stashed in
bond funds.
Gains in the S&P 500 occurring at the start of the day
signal smaller investors are buying, as that’s the time when
they enter the most transactions, Bespoke Investment Group LLC
said in a report Sept. 17.
The AAII’s bull/bear ratio has exceeded 2 on seven
occasions since the beginning of 2006, all of which were
followed by losses for the S&P 500 ranging from 6.7 percent to
20 percent, according to Bank of America. On average, the
decline was 12 percent.

‘Too Bullish’

Readings above 2 “have suggested that individual investors
have become too bullish,” Bartels said. Last week’s survey
result is “a potential contrarian bearish sign.”
In August, Bartels forecast that the S&P 500 may be due for
another plunge after the benchmark for U.S. equities slumped on
rising volumes. The index, which suffered the bull market’s
biggest decline from April to July, dropped 4.7 percent last
month before rebounding 9 percent in September.
Bartels said the biggest risk to her call for a “deeper
correction” is the position by hedge funds and traders.
Leveraged short exchange-traded funds have issued 2.8 percent of
assets over the last week and 5.7 percent over the last two
weeks, the note said, citing data from TrimTabs Investment
Research.
“This indicates a bias to the short-side which is a
contrarian bullish sign,” Bartels wrote. “Fast money or hedge
funds are positioned defensively, and if the market breaks key
resistance levels, short covering as well as outright buying is
likely to occur.”
The S&P 500 needs to exceed 1,150 to invalidate a potential
head and shoulders top that would indicate a reversal of a
bullish trend, Bartels said. A break above that level would send
the benchmark to revisit its 2010 intraday high of 1,119.80
reached in April, she said.

For Related News and Information:
Charts homepage: GRAPH <GO>
Stories on technical analysis: STNI TECHNICALS <GO>
S&P 500 trading envelopes: SPX <Index> TE D <GO>
S&P 500 moving average envelopes: SPX <Index> MAE <GO>
S&P 500 Point and figure graph: SPX <Index> PFP <GO>
Moving average convergence/divergence: SPX <Index> MACD <GO>
S&P 500 Fibonacci graph: SPX <Index> GPF M <GO>
S&P 500 directional movement indicator: SPX <Index> DMI <GO>
S&P 500 stochastics: SPX <Index> TAS <GO>
Strategy backtesting: SPX <Index> BTST <GO>

cavalos escribió:una vueltita de rosca mas al grafico de her, tomando mas años, tenemos con que quebro una resistencia, hizo pullback y sigue. cuantas variantes, asi no se puede operar

si, sin dudas las TL de largo plazo influyen en el mercado, la TL que marcas vos (amarillo) si la marcás en escala logaritmica fijate donde cae
http://img204.imageshack.us/img204/8889/75971493.png

hoy vix 22.35 3.95% y la tasa 2.594 % recien la veo 4.14% tal vez digan algo no veremos

Pero tb un HCH invertido.........esto ya parece un capicúa!!

LUCHO escribió: El Canal azul no dibuja HCH?
Al diamante no le den bola, solo es un cruce de paralelas nada mas, actuaria si quiebra la base con volumen.
Igualmente no le doy mas vida que los 11000 del canal rojo, esa palabra suele hacer mucho ruido en los mercados.
¿Como lo ven?

Confianza del consumidor ABC/Washington Post

Actual: -46Cons.: Anterior: -43
Y.... si no me tiene fe?

Vean abajo a la derecha....

http://dshort.com/charts/Kimble/index-f ... -10921.gif

Hernan, por lo estrechas que estan las intersecciones de distintas figuras, mañana si o si deberá cerrar debajo de los 10.720 para poder esperar una correccion hacia la zona de 10.460 (SMA 200). De lo contrario.....a cerrar los shorts de hoy......

Una duda.....si la Death Cross no tumbó el mercado, la inminente Golden Cross (SMA 50 y 200) tambien podria ser un simple espejismo?

Un abrazo

cavalos, si te fijás, ningun grafico miente.
yo digo que sigue up porque rompio formación y arrancó un canal ascendente.
nitramus dice que baja porque está en el techo del canal ascendente que yo marco (obviamente la ve abajo en el corto)
her ve el triangulo, obviamente tomando largo plazo que está a punto de definirse.
La figuraque posteaste ya finalizó.