DIA Dow Jones 30 (ETF)

[Mr_Baca]

DJ When Will Markets React To Debt Ceiling Impasse?
25-jul-2011
You already know that the Obama Administration has set Aug. 2 as the drop-dead day for the U.S. government to get its act together, solve the debt problem and avoid a global finance meltdown. But how much longer will investors sit tight before they hit their panic buttons?
It may be as little as two days, as of this writing.
Until now, the market reaction to the on-again-off-again negotiations in Washington has been fairly reserved, mostly because the consensus is that neither Democrats nor Republicans want to commit political suicide. But conversations with portfolio managers, strategists and economists suggest many are giving the government until end-of-day Wednesday to show some discernable progress instead of just throw debt-cutting proposals back-and-forth.
If it doesn't do so by then, they say, this game of chicken between Congress and the markets would start to get scarier.
There are reasons to make Wednesday the cut-off date. For one, it's the day that Speaker of the House John Boehner has targeted for bringing a vote to the floor of the House on his plan for a temporary debt ceiling increase. It's also the day that trades need to get executed if investors want to receive settlement before the weekend. With Monday, Aug. 1, deemed to be the only business day left before the government runs out of money, prudent investors might want to be cashed out by then in case liquidity fears are already gripping the market.
Here are a few thoughts from market participants on when and how to pull the trigger:
James Marple, Senior Economist, TD Bank
He says that the market will continue showing "wishful thinking" until the middle of the week, but that's when investors will realize that if there's still no agreement between the "power players" in the Senate and the House, there will be much more of a reaction.
Robert Sinche, Global Head of Foreign Exchange Strategy, RBS Securities
If there are no agreements or even notable progress by end-of-day Wednesday, he says, Thursday morning in Asia "could become a lot more unsettling." And it goes without saying, of course, that if Asia comes undone, European traders will follow the trend and it'll culminate with wild trading in the U.S.
Howard Chin, Fixed Income Portfolio Manager, RS Investments
There will be "huge concern" if the market doesn't see progress this week, he says, noting that there will be a "huge selloff" in longer-dated Treasurys if the market doesn't see some sign of an agreement coming. He does, however, say that shorter-dated Treasurys will remain "well-anchored." That said, "I don't know if there is a safe-haven" if the debt ceiling isn't pushed up and the U.S. defaults.
Scott Mather, Head of Global Bond Portfolio Management, PIMCO
He says there won't be any specific panic point at which investors decide to suddenly start making moves. Instead, "people will get incrementally more excited up to (Aug.2) and the following few days." He doesn't necessarily think there will be any huge movement before Friday. Of course, it must be noted that PIMCO is quite underweight on Treasurys, so they're sitting prettier than some other places.
Michael Shea, managing partner at Direct Access Partners
Only once we reach the "the drop-dead date" will markets see "more selling than what we have now," he says. But that's not to say people aren't already taking action, buying gold and other hard assets as a hedge against the unlikely but serious event of a default.

[chung]

Al cierre: Soros, un 75% en efectivo

http://www.bolsamania.com/noticias-actu ... 74003.html

es el tío del sobri

[pedrovet]

[quote="Sir"][quote="el_sobrino"]A todos los que siguen alcista les digo:

No le van a quedar ganas ni de mirar la pantalla!

En 48 hs empezas a gritar lleven a todos los precios !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

ya llego a 8000? voy a tener q ir a un ciber, asi me recompro todo....con las ganancias me compro un velero

[valiant]

pintoresco este sobrino.

[Sir]

[quote="el_sobrino"]A todos los que siguen alcista les digo:

No le van a quedar ganas ni de mirar la pantalla!

En 48 hs empezas a gritar lleven a todos los precios !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

[el_sobrino]

A todos los que siguen alcista les digo:

No le van a quedar ganas ni de mirar la pantalla!

[el gringo]

por pedrovet » Lun Jul 25, 2011 3:59 pm

no anda muy bien mi conexion a internet
ya vendi todo y me shortee, antes que sea tarde. avisenme si ya estamos cerca de los 8000 del dow asi recompro.....
jajajajajaja

[pedrovet]

no anda muy bien mi conexion a internet
ya vendi todo y me shortee, antes que sea tarde. avisenme si ya estamos cerca de los 8000 del dow asi recompro.....

[her_unlimited]

Miralo a Shumer ( implante capilar sacado de Groupon ) no ayuda, cada palabra que dice cae el dow.................NEXT PLEASE!

estaba pensando lo mismo!!! y negro ponete una corbata mas linda, estas en vivo en cadena global!!

[el_sobrino]

Afortunado el que cree en los sabios y rajo!

[bullbear]

Miralo a Shumer ( implante capilar sacado de Groupon ) no ayuda, cada palabra que dice cae el dow.................NEXT PLEASE!

[bullbear]

Si Si estos gringos son creativos !!!

[her_unlimited]

Tiembla "gual strit" el amigo REID en vivo hablando

me encanta el relojito bloomberg 8Days 9 hs 16min DEADLINE

[bullbear]

Tiembla "gual strit" el amigo REID en vivo hablando

[her_unlimited]

Fasten your seat belts, entering turbulence zone